Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.291240 3.904561 4.631535 5.565517 6.746284 8.206575 1.017634e+01
2024-10-27 2.348433 3.066603 4.029991 5.450880 7.553830 10.655334 1.578697e+01
2024-11-03 2.042203 2.843318 4.012876 5.917040 9.090586 14.478039 2.510223e+01
2024-11-10 1.776711 2.594056 3.865899 6.102466 10.206760 18.059609 3.621429e+01
2024-11-17 1.605372 2.441547 3.817043 6.408747 11.608474 22.776934 5.317582e+01
2024-11-24 1.416051 2.221226 3.603337 6.352387 12.279731 26.308415 7.045427e+01
2024-12-01 1.284615 2.073499 3.482603 6.433775 13.261313 31.089551 9.662063e+01
2024-12-08 1.170958 1.937702 3.355998 6.466891 14.144383 36.153050 1.307269e+02
2024-12-15 1.104167 1.875434 3.355783 6.768222 15.811543 44.651653 1.945277e+02
2024-12-22 1.003970 1.736544 3.179626 6.626390 16.248419 49.506947 2.508919e+02
2024-12-29 0.931179 1.640734 3.076176 6.633514 17.126602 56.726911 3.429705e+02
2025-01-05 0.859137 1.537547 2.941249 6.531662 17.644132 63.031118 4.517358e+02
2025-01-12 0.809337 1.483481 2.927847 6.810437 19.792813 80.291500 7.853493e+02
2025-01-19 0.734093 1.369685 2.767482 6.669708 20.528796 92.433586 1.199237e+03
2025-01-26 0.712206 1.364530 2.856589 7.270250 24.506559 131.331917 2.922895e+03
2025-02-02 0.672562 1.314628 2.827870 7.510206 27.240692 169.456063 6.535333e+03
2025-02-09 0.644067 1.285370 2.844946 7.907538 31.094337 230.238389 1.951445e+04
2025-02-16 0.598836 1.211596 2.733114 7.834328 32.583526 274.125643 4.779839e+04
2025-02-23 0.565417 1.161374 2.675687 7.940062 35.224753 345.823676 1.870997e+05
2025-03-02 0.533162 1.109993 2.606414 7.983111 37.618648 430.059611 1.177641e+06
2025-03-09 0.515025 1.090747 2.624386 8.375483 42.775927 607.048105 3.343808e+08
2025-03-16 0.481269 1.028788 2.508582 8.190652 43.789365 707.841406 NaN
2025-03-23 0.456094 0.985876 2.442834 8.199929 46.389901 888.104996 NaN